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Poll: NC marriage amend. up, 61-34%
Michael Foust, Baptist Press
October 13, 2011
3 MIN READ TIME

Poll: NC marriage amend. up, 61-34%

Poll: NC marriage amend. up, 61-34%
Michael Foust, Baptist Press
October 13, 2011

A proposed constitutional amendment in North Carolina that

would define marriage as between a man and a woman has the support of more than

60 percent of likely voters, according to a new poll.

Citizens will vote on the issue in May.

The poll by the left-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows the amendment

winning by a margin of 61-34 with support from Republicans, Independents and

Democrats. Although Public Policy Polling leans left, its polls on the issue of

gay “marriage” are among the most accurate because it uses automated polling,

which – many polling experts believe – allows respondents to give more honest

answers on the controversial topic. PPP was the only polling company in 2009 that

correctly predicted Maine citizens would vote to overturn a “gay marriage” law.

In the North Carolina poll, Republicans favor the amendment 80-17 percent, with

Independents (52-43 percent) and Democrats (49-44) also supporting it.

Significantly, 70 percent of black Democrats – a key voting

bloc – favor it.

The poll used the exact wording of the amendment and asked 671 likely primary

voters, “Would you vote for or against a constitutional amendment to provide

that marriage between one man and one woman is the only domestic legal union

that shall be valid or recognized in this State?” The poll also found that, by

a margin of 63-30 percent, voters “think same-sex marriage should be” illegal.

An Elon University poll in September used different wording – and live callers –

and found the amendment actually failing, 56-39 percent.

Tom Jensen, director of Public Policy Polling, argued in a 2010 blog that

automated polling on the subject is more reliable. He wrote the blog after CNN

released a poll showing a slight majority of Americans favoring marriage

redefinition.

“(People are) more likely to tell their true feelings on an automated poll

where there’s no social anxiety concern than to a live interviewer who they may

be worried about the reaction of,” Jensen, who supports gay “marriage,” wrote. “It

is frankly impossible, based on the results of gay marriage referendums over

the last decade, to believe that a majority of Americans support its

legalization. Dark blue states like California and Maine voted against it just

in the last two years.”

North Carolina would become the 30th state to define marriage in the

traditional sense in a state constitution.

Traditionalists warn “gay marriage” legalization would have a host of negative

effects on religious liberty, impacting what is taught in schools and forcing

private businesses and some religiously affiliated public organizations to

endorse that to which they are morally opposed.

(EDITOR’S NOTE – Michael Foust is associate editor of Baptist Press.)